Question
A man is known to speak truth 3 out of 4 times. He throws a die and reports that it is a six. Find the probability that it is actually a six.
Solution
Let E1 denote the event that six occurs and E2 denote the event that it is not a six.
Let A denote the event that the man reports that it is six.
by Baye's Law
Let A denote the event that the man reports that it is six.
by Baye's Law
