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Probability

Question
CBSEENMA12033747

There are two bags I and II. Bag I contains 4 white and 3 red balls and Bag II contains 6 white and 5 red balls. One ball is drawn at random from one of the bags and is found to be red. Find the probability that it was drawn from bag II.

Solution

Bag I

Bag II

Number of white balls = 4

Number of white balls = 6

Number of red balls = 3

Number of red balls = 5

Total number of balls = 7

Total number of balls = 11

Let E1 and E2 be the events of the ball being drawn from bag I and bag II respectively and E be the event that the drawn ball is red.
Since both the bags are equally likely to be selected
therefore space space space straight P left parenthesis straight E subscript 1 right parenthesis equals space 1 half comma space space space space straight P left parenthesis straight E subscript 2 right parenthesis space equals space 1 half
             straight P left parenthesis straight E space left enclose straight E subscript 1 end enclose right parenthesis space equals space Probability space of space drawin space straight a space red space ball space from space bag space straight I space equals space 3 over 7
straight P left parenthesis straight E space left enclose straight E subscript 2 end enclose right parenthesis space equals space Probability space of space drawing space straight a space red space ball space from space bag space II space equals space 5 over 11
straight P left parenthesis the space red space ball space is space drawn space from space bag space II right parenthesis space equals space straight P left parenthesis straight E subscript 2 space end subscript left enclose straight E right parenthesis
space space space space space space space space space space space space space space space space space space space space space space space space space space space space space space space space space space space space space space space space space space space space space space space equals space fraction numerator straight P left parenthesis straight E subscript 2 right parenthesis. space straight P left parenthesis straight E subscript 1 left enclose straight E subscript 2 end enclose right parenthesis over denominator straight P left parenthesis straight E subscript 1 right parenthesis. space straight P left parenthesis straight E left enclose straight E subscript 1 right parenthesis space plus space straight P left parenthesis straight E subscript 2 right parenthesis. space straight P left parenthesis straight E left enclose straight E subscript 2 right parenthesis end enclose end enclose end fraction
                                    equals space fraction numerator begin display style 1 half end style cross times begin display style 5 over 11 end style over denominator begin display style 1 half end style cross times begin display style 3 over 7 end style plus begin display style 1 half end style cross times begin display style 5 over 11 end style end fraction space equals fraction numerator begin display style 5 over 11 end style over denominator begin display style 3 over 7 end style plus begin display style 5 over 11 end style end fraction space equals space fraction numerator begin display style 5 over 11 end style over denominator begin display style fraction numerator 33 plus 35 over denominator 77 end fraction end style end fraction space equals space fraction numerator begin display style 5 over 11 end style over denominator begin display style 68 over 77 end style end fraction
equals space 5 over 11 cross times 77 over 68 equals space 35 over 68

 

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