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Probability

Question
CBSEENMA12033705

Fatima and John appear in an interview for two vacancies in the same post. The probability of Fatima's selection is 1 over 7 space and spacethat of John's selection is 1 fifth. What is the probability that only one of them is selected?

Solution

Let A : Fatima is selected
      B : John is selected
Clearly ‘A’ and ‘B’ are independent.
P(only one of them will be selected)
          = P('A and not B' or 'B and not A')
          = P(A and not B)  + P(B and not A)
          = P(A) P(not B) + P(B) P(not A)
           = P(A) [1 -  P(B)] + P(B) [1 - P(A)]
           equals space 1 over 7 cross times 4 over 5 plus 1 fifth cross times 6 over 7 space equals 10 over 35 space equals 2 over 7
            

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