-->

Probability

Question
CBSEENMA12033622

Consider the experiment of throwing a die, if a multiple of 3 comes up, throw the die again and if any other number comes, toss a coin. Find the conditional probability of the event ‘the coin shows a tail’, given that ‘at least one die shows a 3’.

Solution

S = {(3, 1), (3, 2), (3, 3), (3, 4), (3, 5), (3, 6), (6, 1), (6, 2), (6, 3), (6, 4), (6, 5), (6, 6), (1, H), (1, T), (2, H), (2, T), (4, H), (4, T), (5, H), (5, T)}
The outcomes of S are not equally likely. First 12 outcomes are equally likely and are such that the sum of their probabilities is 2 over 6 space equals 1 third. So each of the first 12 outcomes has a probability equal to 1 third cross times 1 over 12 space equals space 1 over 36. Remaining eight outcomes are equally likely and are such that the sum of their probabilities is 4 over 6 space equals space 2 over 3.
So, each of these has a probability equal to fraction numerator 2 over denominator 3 cross times 8 end fraction equals 1 over 12.
Let  E: 'the coin shows a tail'
and F: 'at least one die shows up a 3',
therefore space space space space space straight E space equals space left curly bracket left parenthesis 1 comma space straight T right parenthesis comma space left parenthesis 2 comma space straight T right parenthesis comma space left parenthesis 4 comma space straight T right parenthesis comma space left parenthesis 5 comma space straight T right parenthesis right curly bracket
and  straight F space equals space left curly bracket left parenthesis 3 comma space 1 right parenthesis comma space left parenthesis 3 comma space 2 right parenthesis comma space left parenthesis 3 comma space 3 right parenthesis comma space left parenthesis 3 comma space 4 right parenthesis comma space left parenthesis 3 comma space 5 right parenthesis comma space left parenthesis 3 comma space 6 right parenthesis comma space left parenthesis 6 comma space 3 right parenthesis right curly bracket
therefore space space space space space space straight E intersection straight F space equals straight ϕ
therefore space space space space straight P left parenthesis straight E intersection straight F right parenthesis space equals space 0
Required probability  = straight P left parenthesis straight E space left enclose space straight F right parenthesis end enclose space equals space fraction numerator straight P left parenthesis straight E intersection straight F right parenthesis over denominator straight P left parenthesis straight F right parenthesis end fraction equals space fraction numerator 0 over denominator straight P left parenthesis straight F right parenthesis end fraction equals space 0.

Some More Questions From Probability Chapter